California Forests Are Disappearing–And So Are Air Pollution Disparities

Article by Derik Suria & Meghna Pamula Air pollution is a serious public health concern. Research shows significant disparities in exposure to air pollution and health outcomes among different communities by the level of income. Low-income communities are likely to be disproportionately affected by air pollution (Harvard study). African Americans and Latinos are more likely

Is The Wisdom of Crowds Prone to Exaggeration? Evidence from Metaculus

Article by Sambhav Maheshwari and Karan Goel Upon completing this article, you’ll have effortlessly forecasted the future multiple times. The headline alone gave you a rough idea of whether this article will pique your interest. Now, these initial lines serve as a litmus test, determining if the remainder merits your attention. We’re all natural forecasters

Emotions Running High: Political Stress and Domestic Violence Reports

Article by Anya Syed Prior studies show that when local NFL teams lose, especially when unexpected, reports of at-home violence by men against their partners increase by 10% (Card and Dahl 2011). Research also shows that Americans increasingly treat politics as a sport where they identify heavily with the wins and losses of their team. We investigate whether

Did American Investors Believe Evergrande would be China’s Lehman Moment?

Article by Katie Chen On September 22nd, 2021, Chinese real estate giant Evergrande failed to meet a coupon deadline totaling $83 million of bond interest payments. News outlets drew comparisons between  Evergrande’s crisis and the Lehman Brothers’ collapse; it seemed as though Evergrande’s potential bankruptcy had the ability to trigger global financial panic.   As the

How are Global Interest Rates Responding to Recent Inflationary Pressures?

Article by Jennifer Lim Following an unprecedented intentional shutdown of economic activity to fight the pandemic, switching it back on has caused a lot of turbulence. As the restrictions loosened, consumers armed with stimulus money entered a sluggish market with dysfunctional supply chains and significant labor shortages. This forced consumer prices in the United States

Football to Manufacturing: The Divergent Path of Nearby Competitors

Article by Joseph Zhong Imagine you are a five-star quarterback that grew up in Alabama, with guarantees that you would be the starting quarterback your freshman year. Which school would you pick: the University of Alabama or Samford University? The answer is obvious: University of Alabama. But why did you choose it? The coaching staff,

COVID-19: Baby Bump or Baby Dump?

Article by Sambhav Maheshwari  The COVID-19 pandemic, by changing experiences across transportation, well-being, caregiving, health care, and jobs, has caused society-wide shifts in behavior with potentially far reaching consequences. One of these is the impact on birth rates with potentially long-lived demographic consequences.  In 2020, many academics predicted that the incidence of a pandemic (COVID)

Income Inequality and Democratic Backsliding

Article by Meghna Pamula Although democracy has greatly expanded globally over the past few decades, democratic backsliding has been a topic of concern over recent years. Democratic backsliding is the state-led debilitation or elimination of the institutions sustaining democracy. Democracy is made up of factors such as voting rights, freedom of the governed, and minority

The Inland Empire’s Industry Resilience

Article By Anya Syed During the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, unemployment rates soared throughout the US, with rates differing across US counties. According to the most recent UCLA Anderson Forecast Report, LA County’s unemployment rate was 4.9%, while Riverside county’s unemployment rate was 3.6% in September 2022. Since the beginning of the pandemic, the